Saturday, January 17, 2015

In Kiev, A Peace Process Isn't Understood, Or They Just Don't Care.

In Kiev, A Peace Process Isn't Understood, Or They Just Don't Care.

Ultimatum to Europe: Russia is ready to take extreme measures.
Yuri
January 13, 2015
Vladimir Putin 

"It has been a long difficult haul, but - as one can clearly see - an open exchange of views and ideas without contradiction still does not exist between us. These differences of opinion that remain, as before, have shown how difficult it is to make any progress on a path to a comprehensive political solution. And here it is we are on the way to the summit in Astana..., where many expect us to be miraculously ready", commenting on the results of pre-negotiations, German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, said. 

In Berlin, we believe that more progress and successful motions into the issues of the summit in Astana are necessary before Russia can lead the militias into fully and unconditionally into implementing all of the points of the Minsk Agreement.

However, Moscow has its own explanation of the reasons why the Minsk Agreement is so difficult to fully implement at this point. "At this stage, we must consider ("The Norman format")as the format, in which we decided the main tasks would evolve. - "It helped to start a direct dialogue and the signing of the agreements in Minsk to start with,", said Sergey Lavrov . - Of course, this format can not by itself engage in the implementation of these agreements. To fulfill the agreements, there must first of all be an active measure taken by both parties in the conflict, - not just the the authorities and territories DNR and LC", he added. 

The main complaints are addressed to the Russian Ukrainian side only. According to Sergei Lavrov, for the successful implementation of the agreements they must first be met in Kiev a number of the Minsk conditions. Second, to start a normal dialogue with the leaders of the breakaway regions of New Russia. 

"This political process can only be successful with the start of a direct dialogue, in this case, between the representatives of the Ukrainian government and proclaimed leaders of the DNI and LC, and that they should be let to feel fully involved in the political process as equal partners," - said the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry. Kiev authorities on a dialogue and the recognition of the militia party to the conflict fundamentally has not gone on. Instead, in this case, they promote the absurd idea of a "Russian invasion", and have yet to admit that Ukraine is in a civil war.

In addition to the requirements of dialogue with representatives of the LC and the DNI Russia indicates that in the case of the Minsk agreement. it is Kiev itself that does not comply. In particular, the Ukrainian authorities do not pursue decentralization of the country in the form in which this process Moscow understands, or have any adequate compliance observers. "Without the beginning of a comprehensive constitutional process involving all regions and political forces in Ukraine it will be difficult to agree on the rest of particular issues, despite the importance of each one of these particular issues," - said Sergey Lavrov. 

Further, according to him, a constitutional reform process will automatically, if put in the right context, fulfill all the tasks of each item of the Minsk arrangements, including; a ceasefire, the withdrawal of heavy artillery, and other heavy equipment, and allow for a more efficient delivery of humanitarian aid, hostage rescues, and provide  a special status enshrined in Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republic of addressing the economic revival of Donbass ".

The Ukrainian side, we recall, agreed to only very moderate draft for the decentralization of powers, and only of a minimum number of areas. Probably in Kiev, is it considered a serious project of decentralization, viewing it instead as a serious threat to a Ukrainian statehood. This threat comes from at least three directions: separatism eastern regions, separatism in western regions (where the mood is much more radical than in Kiev, and after the recession of the all-Ukrainian hysteria about a Russian aggression in the Center, all because the West may not be the same statehood agenda), as well as have the desires of some oligarchs subjugations of individual areas. 

In Russia, however, we indicate that this decentralization is inevitable, and the only question is, who in control out of all these side-liners can denote this process. If Ukrainian authorities do not want to do the the decentralizing, then who will manage these alternative centers of power in the country. "There is still no clarity, what is the status of the so-called" oligarchs battalions?" This it is not clear whom to obey. Also, there are illegal armed groups like "Right Sector", which also refuse to stand up under someone else's new beginning,"- said Sergey Lavrov. For Ukraine, this shaky "uncontrolled decentralization" issue is no good, of course, and not an end either. In Kiev, this is not yet apparently understood. Or they just do not care.

Trying to shift sides blaming each other for failing to follow Minsk agreements could lead to disruption of the Norman format. Yes, the two sides agreed to continue consultations and possibly next week to enter a new round of talks between the Ministers of Foreign Affairs, but without coercion Kiev to adequately conduct negotiations simply do not propagate. And the summit in Astana will not take place - it is clear that the heads of state can gather in the capital of Kazakhstan only if up to this point we define all the parameters of the agreement. The parameters are far from there, and as of of January 12, based on the words of President's press secretary Dmitry Peskov, a visit to the Kazakh capital in the schedule of Vladimir Putin, it has not been found.

In turn, the official Kiev is doing everything possible in order not to bother the administration of the Russian president to redraw the graph of the President. Thus, in breach of the terms of the armistice Ukrainian troops resumed shelling of the city DNR - Donetsk, Gorlovka and others. "The militants want to disrupt the scheduled meeting, to be held in the" Norman "format at the level of leaders. They want to disrupt the truce and put off  further Ukraine agreements ", - said the speaker of artillery ATO Andrei Lysenko, apparently, having a mind that the militia have once again decided to firing at and kill themselves.

In Russia, these attacks are perceived very seriously. "We have information that is very disturbing, and we will now re-check that indeed the security forces are preparing for the foreseeable future, the next attempt of a military solution to the problem. It will be a disaster - said Sergey Lavrov. - While ... we demand from our western partners, who have had an influence on the Ukrainian leadership much more than anyone else, that they deal with these plans and not allow the "party of war" in Kiev to bring down all these very fragile hopes that were generated in the Minsk agreements. "

In fact, Moscow now puts an ultimatum to the West, suggesting that the failure of the armistice and then a new Ukrainian counter-offensive starts, it could mean the elimination of the Minsk format and increasing support for militias from the Kremlin. With all its consequences for the territorial integrity and the general existence of an unsustainable Ukrainian State project.

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